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 It’s been a volatile few weeks in the financial markets. Up until late January, we were still enjoying the longest bull market in history. In three short weeks, the bull market has ended, and we’ve entered bear market territory. Between Friday, February 21 and Monday, March 16, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped by 30.37%.1
The rapid decline has left many investors with two questions:
There’s no easy answer to the first question. If history is any guide, eventually the decline will stop, and the markets will recover. The average bear market lasts 13 months, followed by a 22-month recovery.2 However, it’s impossible to predict when that recovery might begin. The second question is even more difficult to answer. There are certainly protection options available, but not all options are right for all investors. Your strategy should be based on your unique needs, goals, and tolerance for risk. Below are a few options you have available: Shifting to a more conservative allocation. Changing your allocation to a more conservative strategy is always an option. Many people become more risk averse as they approach retirement. If you haven’t reviewed your allocation in years, this may be the right time to do so. Of course, a more conservative allocation could limit your participation in a recovery when it happens. Work with a financial professional to find an allocation that limits your exposure to further losses, but still gives you an opportunity to participate future upside. Staying the course. Another option is to stay the course and stay invested in your current allocation. Again, that may expose you to further losses, but it could also put you in a position to take advantage of a recovery when it does happen. Again, it’s impossible to predict when a recovery could happen, but history can provide some insight. The last bear market started in October 2007 and lasted until March 2009, spanning much of the financial crisis. The S&P 500 dropped 56.8%. However, the subsequent bull market (which just ended) lasted more than 10 years and saw the S&P 500 increase by more than 400%.3 The 2000 bear market was triggered by the tech bubble. It lasted nearly 30 months and saw a total decline of more than 49%. It was followed by a 60-month bull market with a return of more than 100%. The 1990 bear market lasted only three months and had a decline of 20% and it was followed by a 113-month bull market with a cumulative return of 417%.3 Bear markets are often followed by bull markets. The question is whether you can stick it out through further losses. Again, your financial professional can talk through your options with you and help you decide which path is right. Use risk-protection vehicles. Another option is to take advantage of market risk-protection vehicles like annuities. There is a wide range of different types of annuities that can limit your exposure to market risk and protect your future. For example, some guarantee your principal against loss, but also offer upside growth potential. Others guarantee your future retirement income, no matter how the market performs in the future. A financial professional can help you determine if an annuity or other risk-protection tool is right for you. Ready to protect your nest egg from the coronavirus? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your investments and implement a strategy. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.google.com/search?safe=off&sa=X&tbm=fin&sxsrf=ALeKk02Fk2yPH2_A7nU0wQGE5IUIixHyGQ:1584394531365&q=INDEXDJX:+.DJI&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRozC3w8sc9YSmtSWtOXmNU4eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLjYoOyeKS4uDj0c_UNkgsry3kWsfJ5-rm4Rrh4RVgp6Ll4eQIAqJT5uUkAAAA&ved=2ahUKEwiBmOfJ-Z_oAhWUW80KHc2dA3MQ3N8BMAJ6BAgCEAM#scso=_SfFvXsWJMJe1tAbX6pm4BQ1:0 27https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/24/whats-a-bear-market-and-how-long-do-they-usually-last-.html 3https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/14/a-look-at-bear-and-bull-markets-through-history.html Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19926 - 2020/3/17  Do you use a 401(k) or IRA to save for retirement? You’re not alone. These types of accounts are popular for many reasons, but one of the biggest is their tax treatment. As you may know, these accounts are tax-deferred. That means you don’t pay taxes on growth as long as the funds stay inside the account.
Qualified accounts may also offer upfront tax benefits for your contributions. Contributions to your 401(k) come out on a pre-tax basis. That reduces your taxable income, which in turn reduces your taxes. Contributions to an IRA.may also be tax-deductible, depending on your income level. Qualified accounts aren’t completely tax-free, however. While you may get a deduction upfront and taxes may be deferred over time, eventually, you do have to pay taxes on these assets. That time is usually when you take withdrawals in retirement. Most distributions from qualified accounts are taxed as income. That could be problematic if you plan on using your 401(k) or IRA to generate most of your retirement income. You could create high levels of taxable income that may create a significant tax liability, which could reduce your net income and your ability to live a comfortable lifestyle. Fortunately, you can minimize your tax burden by planning ahead. Every situation is unique, so there’s no universal strategy that is right for everyone. However, the following three-step process can help you project your tax liability in retirement and take steps to control it. List all your sources of retirement income. The first step in managing your retirement taxes is to project just exactly where your income will come from. In fact, this isn’t just useful for tax planning; it’s important for your entire retirement strategy. Make a list of all your potential income sources. The list could include things like:
Categorize them by tax treatment. Once you have your list, you can start to categorize your income sources according to how they are taxed. Some income sources will likely be taxable, like:
Other types of income may be tax-free, such as:
And finally, there could be some sources of income that simply require more research. They may be taxable, but also may not be. It could depend on your total taxable income or perhaps other factors. These types of income could include:
Meet with a professional and develop a tax strategy. The final step is to work with a professional to create a detailed projection of your potential income and tax liability in retirement. They can estimate your income and your possible taxes each year. They can then work with you to develop a strategy that minimizes tax payments. For example, they might recommend the use of tax-free income from municipal bonds or a Roth IRA. They could suggest the use of life insurance to create tax-free income. They may recommend that you delay Social Security or choose a different pension benefit to reduce your taxable income. A financial professional can help you find the strategy that is best for your needs. Ready to develop your retirement tax strategy? Let’s talk about it. Contact us at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and develop a strategy. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19662 - 2020/1/16  What are you thankful for this holiday season? Family and friends? A few days off work? Perhaps your health? Good fortune in your career? You may have many blessings for which you’re thankful.
Many of our blessings and fortunate circumstances are determined by choices we made earlier in life. Your good health may be a result of your healthy lifestyle. Your financial stability is likely a result of your career choices and your savings habits. What decisions can you make today that you will be thankful for in the future? Below are three actions your retired self may appreciate. If you’re approaching retirement and haven’t taken these steps, now may be the time to do so. Adjust your allocation and minimize risk. Are you feeling less comfortable with market volatility as you approach retirement? That’s normal. Most people become more risk-averse as they get older. When you’re young, you have a long time horizon. You have plenty of time to recover from a loss in the market, so you can afford to take some risk. However, as you get closer to retirement, your time horizon shortens. You don’t have as much time to recover from a loss, so a market downturn may cause more anxiety and stress than it did in the past. This may be a good time to review your overall allocation and possibly adjust to a more conservative strategy. Look for ways to pursue growth without exposure to high levels of risk. In addition to adjusting your allocation, you may want to explore retirement vehicles that offer growth potential without market risk. Your risk tolerance changes over time, so your allocation should change as well. Maximizing tax-deferred savings. If you’re like most Americans, you probably use some kind of tax-deferred vehicle to save for retirement. Accounts like IRAs and 401(k) plans are tax-deferred. You contribute money and then allocate your funds according to your goals. In a tax-deferred account, you don’t pay taxes on your growth as long as the funds stay inside the account. Depending on which account you’re using, you may pay taxes on distributions in the future. However, the deferral of taxes inside the account may help your assets compound at a faster rate than they would in a comparable taxable account. In 2019, you can contribute up to $19,000 to a 401(k), plus another $6,000 if you are age 50 or old. You can also contribute up to $6,000 to an IRA, with an additional $1,000 if you are 50 or older.1 Look for ways to trim your budget so you can put more money in your retirement accounts. Your future self will thank you. Work with a professional. Have you resisted using a financial professional for retirement income advice? Now may be the time to change your thinking, especially if you’re nearing retirement. A financial professional can help you adjust your allocations, plan your retirement income, develop a savings strategy, and even implement a personalized plan so you stay on track to hit your retirement goals. If you haven’t consulted with a financial professional about your retirement, now may be the right time to do so. Ready to nail down your retirement strategy and make decisions you’ll be thankful for in the future? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/401k-contribution-limit-increases-to-19000-for-2019-ira-limit-increases-to-6000 Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19446 - 2019/10/30  Volatility and risk. When it comes to investing, those two terms mean the same thing, right? Not exactly. While volatility and risk can both refer to market downturns, they don’t have the exact same meaning. Understanding the difference between volatility and risk can help you make more informed investment decisions and implement the right long-term strategy for your needs and goals.
What is volatility? Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index.1 In simpler terms, it’s range of returns that could be expected for a stock, bond, mutual fund, or other investment. Volatility is often measured by something called standard deviation, which is the variance of returns for a specific investment. For instance, assume a stock has a historical average return of 8% annually with a standard deviation of 10. The average return is 8%, but you could expect returns in any given year as low as 10% below the average or 10% above the average. So the annual returns will usually fall somewhere between -2% and 18%. Now consider a stock that has an average annual return of 6% with a standard deviation of 4. In this example, the annual returns will usually fall somewhere between 2% and 10%. Clearly, this stock is less volatile than the previous example. Volatility refers to the potential downside, but it also refers to the potential upside as well. Volatility is a natural part of investing. Securities increase in value some days and decrease other days. It’s difficult to avoid volatility, but you can manage it by knowing your own comfort level and choosing investments that align with your tolerance. What is risk? Risk is different than volatility in that risk refers specifically to loss. It’s generally the possibility of loss. There are a few measurements that can be used to estimate your investment risk, like standard deviation, but there isn’t one objective way to measure your level of risk exposure. Instead, the best way to measure and manage risk is often through careful, regular analysis. Your tolerance for risk is unique and subjective. The amount of risk that is too much for you may be perfectly fine for another individual. Only you can truly know what level of risk is appropriate for your strategy. However, a financial professional can help you determine your risk tolerance and analyze your current exposure to market risk. It’s possible that a more conservative allocation could be appropriate. Or you might benefit from financial vehicles that don’t have any market risk exposure. Since risk is such a subjective term, it often takes regular monitoring, review, and adjustment to find the right strategy. Are you ready to minimize the risk and volatility in your investment strategy? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/volatility.asp Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19441 - 2019/10/30  It’s that time of year again … Halloween is here. It’s time to stock up on candy, carve your pumpkin, and find the perfect costume. Soon, scary movies will be on television and you’ll have little ghouls and goblins showing up at your door for trick-or-treating.
This may be the scariest time of the year, but it only lasts a month. The truth is there could be gaps in your retirement strategy that could come back to haunt you for years or even decades. Below are a few common retirement planning mistakes that can have frightening long-term consequences. If any of these sounds familiar, it may be time to meet with a financial professional. Having the wrong allocation. Asset allocation is an important part of any retirement strategy. Your allocation influences your risk exposure and your potential return. Generally, risk and return go hand-in-hand. Assets that offer greater potential return usually also have higher levels of risk. You can use asset allocation to find the right mix of assets for your retirement income goals and risk tolerance. Having the wrong allocation can be problematic. For example, many people have less tolerance for risk as they approach retirement. As you get closer to retirement, you have less time to recover from a loss and thus less tolerance for risk. However, if you don’t adjust your allocation, you could have more risk exposure than is appropriate. A downturn could substantially impact the amount of income you have set aside for retirement. One way to protect your assets and reduce your risk exposure is to use a fixed indexed annuity (FIA) for part of your allocation. FIAs offer potential interest that is tied to the performance of an external market index, like the S&P 500. If the market performs well, you may earn more interest, up to a maximum amount set by the insurance company. However, if the index performs poorly over a given period, you won’t lose any premium. Most FIAs have a principal guarantee* which means you won’t lose money due to market loss. You may earn less interest, but your initial premium amount won’t go down. Not guaranteeing* your income. Income is the name of the game in retirement. One key to a successful retirement is having income that meets or exceeds your expenses. However, much of your income may be unpredictable. While Social Security income is guaranteed*, your income from your personal savings may not be. It can be difficult to plan your retirement when you don’t know how much income you will have or how long it needs to last. Again, an FIA can help you manage this risk. Many FIAs offer optional benefits called guaranteed* withdrawal riders. With these features, you’re allowed to withdraw a certain amount each year. As long as you stay within the allowed withdrawal amount, the income is guaranteed* for life, no matter how long you live or what happens in the financial markets. This predictable income can help you make more informed financial decisions and live comfortably in retirement. Not working with a financial professional. Are you more of the DIY type? That’s an understandable approach, but it could also create some frightening risks. For instance, you may not see potential risks, like gaps in your asset allocation. Or you may not fully estimate your income need for a long retirement. A financial professional can use their knowledge, experience, and resources to develop a customized strategy for you. They can identify gaps in your plan and recommend appropriate strategies, such as FIAs or other financial vehicles. Sometimes an outside opinion can help you identify risks that you didn’t see yourself. Ready to take the fright out of your retirement strategy? Let’s talk about it. Contact us at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and develop a retirement income plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. *Guarantees, including optional benefits, are backed by the claims-paying ability of the issuer, and may contain limitations, including surrender charges, which may affect policy values. Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19301 - 2019/9/24  Fourth Quarter Planning Checklist It’s hard to believe the year is almost over, but October is already upon us. Soon the holidays will be here and then we will flip the calendar to 2020.
These last few months are also your last opportunity to make important financial decisions before the end of the year. It’s a great time to review your strategy and make adjustments as you head into 2020. Below are a few items to include on your end-of-year planning checklist: Review your tax strategy. The deadline for filing your 2019 taxes may be in April 2020, but that doesn’t mean you can’t get started on your planning today. In fact, by starting your planning now, you can take advantage of deductions and other opportunities. For example, there may be deductions that you haven’t fully used. You could make a contribution to your favorite charity before the end of the year to take advantage of the charitable deduction. You could make contributions to tax-deductible retirement accounts, like an IRA. Do you have any outstanding medical bills? You may be able to deduct those costs if you pay them before the end of the year. Also, consider whether you can defer income until next year. Perhaps you’re due a sizable bonus or other compensation. Perhaps you could defer that income until after January 1 so it’s not included in your 2019 return. If you’re considering selling appreciated assets, like stocks, you may want to wait until after the beginning of the year to delay the capital gains. A financial and tax professional can help you identify these opportunities and make informed decisions. Increase your contributions. Will you maximize your contributions to your 401(k) and IRA this year? If not, you still have time to do so. In 2019, you can contribute up to $19,000 to a 401(k), or up to $25,000 if you are age 50 or older. You can contribute up to $6,000 to an IRA, or up $7,000 if you are 50 or older.1 This also may be a good time to consider your contributions for 2020. The IRS has not yet announced the 2020 contribution limits. However, increasing your contribution rate could help you accumulate more assets. Even a moderate increase of a percentage point could compound to significant savings over time. Think about increasing your retirement savings as you head into 2020. Check your benefits. The fall is usually open enrollment season for many employers. This is a good time to review your health coverage and other benefits to see if they still fit your needs. If you’re nearing retirement and have access to an HSA through your employer, you may want to consider making contributions. An HSA can be a tax-efficient funding source for health care costs and you can take the assets with you into retirement. Adjust your allocation. Finally, this may be the right time to review your allocation. Your needs and risk tolerance could change over time. It’s common for people to become more risk-averse as they approach retirement. It’s important that your allocation changes along with your tolerance for risk. A fixed indexed annuity (FIA) might help you take some of the risk out of your strategy. FIAs offer the potential to earn interest based on the performance of a market index. If the index performs well over a certain time period, you may earn more interest, up to a limit. However, if it performs poorly, you simply earn less interest; you don’t lose money due to market declines. Ready to start on your fourth-quarter financial checklist? Contact us at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a strategy. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/401k-contribution-limit-increases-to-19000-for-2019-ira-limit-increases-to-6000 Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. Annuities contain limitations including withdrawal charges, fees, and a market value adjustment which may affect contract values. Annuities are products of the insurance industry; guarantees are backed by the claims-paying ability of the issuing company. Guaranteed lifetime income available through annuitization or the purchase of an optional lifetime income rider, a benefit for which an annual premium is charged. 19305 - 2019/9/25  Are you preparing to retire? If so, this is probably an exciting time. You’ve worked and saved your entire career to get to this point. Very soon, you’ll be able to spend your time as you wish, without the constraints of career and work.
While retirement is a major accomplishment and an important milestone, it’s not always a joyous occasion. Some retirees struggle to make the transition. In fact, a recent study in the Journal of Population Ageing found that retirees are twice as likely to experience symptoms of depression than those who are still working. ¹ What could be depressing about not working anymore? Everyone’s situation is unique, so there aren’t universal answers to that question. However, there are a few common challenges that many retirees face, especially in their first year of retirement. You can make the transition easier by planning ahead. Below are a few issues you may want to consider as you finalize your retirement strategy: Lack of Purpose If you’re like many people, you’ve worked in some form or another for several decades. In fact, you’ve probably spent more of your adult life working than with any other activity. Even before you started your career, much of your time was probably focused on school or extracurricular activities. For many, retirement marks the first time in their life where there isn’t a primary mandatory activity. You don’t have to wake up at a certain time to be at work. There aren't any tasks to complete or meetings to attend. Your time is yours to manage as you please. While the freedom of retirement might be appealing, you may feel like you don’t have any purpose. You may want to think about how you will spend your time in retirement. What is important to you? What does your ideal day look like? Do you want to travel? Or perhaps learn a new hobby? Think about what your purpose will be and what activities will make you happy. Loneliness For many adults, work isn’t just a source of income. It’s also their primary place to socialize with other adults. Think of your network of associates and friends. How many of those relationships were formed during work-related activities? Once you retire, you won’t have an office or workplace to go to. That means you may not have a natural opportunity to socialize with others. Think about ways in which you can get out of the house and interact with other adults. For example, you could join a golf league, or a club related to a favorite hobby. You could volunteer for a local charity. Some retirees even take low-pressure part-time jobs just so they can spend time around other people. Overspending Once you retire, you’ll have more free time available than you’ve likely ever had in your life. You also may have more money available than you’ve ever had, between your retirement assets, defined benefit pension income, and Social Security. Many retirees fill their free time with costly activities, like travel, shopping, and dining out. It’s natural to want to enjoy your retirement. However, be careful not to overspend during the early years of retirement. You could put yourself in a difficult financial situation in the later years. A financial professional can help you develop a budget and implement an income strategy. Ready to plan your upcoming retirement? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and develop a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2019/06/11/depression-during-retirement-how-cope-and-prepare/1416091001/ Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19149 - 2019/8/19  Fall is here. Ok, it’s not actually official until September 22. However, the unofficial start of fall arrived in late August. Starbucks added pumpkin spice drinks to their menu. For many, that’s a surefire sign that cooler weather, football, and fall bonfires are right around the corner.
While fall may be a favorite time of year for many people, it hasn’t historically been a great season for investors. In fact, September is historically the worst month for stock market returns. Going back to 1950, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has a -0.8% average return in September while the S&P 500 has a -0.5% average return.1 Those averages are worse than the average return for any other month. September isn’t down every year, but it happens frequently enough that the phenomenon has generated a nickname - the September Effect. What’s the cause of the September Effect? And how can you prepare? Below are some tips and guidance to help you plan. Why does the September Effect happen? There’s no clear answer why the September Effect happens. Or even if it’s a real phenomenon at all. Some people think it’s related to tax planning. People sell down positions before the fourth quarter in order to harvest potential tax losses. The widespread selling causes a downturn in the market. Others suspect that the phenomenon is related to the end of summer. People think about their portfolio and investments over the summer, but don’t take action because they’re busy with vacations and other activities. After summer is over, they sell positions and make adjustments and, again, the widespread selling causes a slight downturn. Of course, there’s also the possibility that there is no actual cause. It’s possible that the phenomenon is completely coincidental. It doesn’t happen every year. In fact, over the past 25 years, the median return in September for the S&P 500 has been positive.1 It’s possible that there is no actual September effect and the historical returns are a matter of circumstance. How do you prepare for the September effect? you may be curious about how you should prepare for the September effect, or if you should at all. The short answer is that it usually isn’t wise to plan your retirement strategy based on short-term expectations. While September may have a history of being negative, that doesn’t mean it always is. Also, it’s incredibly difficult to predict the market’s movement in the short-term, if not impossible. You could make changes to your strategy in expectation of a downturn and the market could do the exact opposite. Instead, focus on your long-term strategy. Your retirement planning approach should be based on your unique goals, needs, and risks. That strategy shouldn’t change just because one month may have poor returns. If you don’t have a long-term retirement strategy, now may be the time to develop one. Let’s talk about it. Contact us at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a strategy. We can help you analyze your goals and possible risks and implement a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/06/septworstmonth.asp Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19184 - 2019/8/23  Who handles the money in your household? If your home is like most, it depends on the kind of financial planning involved. A new study from UBS found that 85 percent of married women handle the day-to-day financial management in their household. However, the same survey found that only 23 percent of married are in charge of their long-term planning. The remainder defer that work to their husband.1
Why do so many women defer their long-term financial planning to their spouse? According to the study, 82 percent of women said they think their spouse is more knowledgeable about long-term financial planning.1 Partnership is always important in marriage, especially when it comes to financial planning. Finances are often a major cause of arguments and disagreements, so it’s helpful for both spouses to be involved in decision-making. It’s also important for women to take control of their financial future because they may face challenges and risks that men do not face. Below are two such challenges. If you haven’t developed a long-term financial strategy, now may be the time to do so. A financial professional can help you get started. Longevity People are living longer than ever, primarily because of advances in health care and increased understanding about health and nutrition. However, women usually have the edge on men in terms of life expectancy. According to the Society of Actuaries, the average 65-year-old man has a 50 percent chance of living to 87 and a 25 percent chance of living to 92. However, a 65-year-old woman has a 50 percent chance of living to 92 and a 25 percent chance of living to 96.2 This means that many women can expect to outlive their husbands. While that idea may not be pleasant to think about, it’s an important planning consideration. A longer lifespan means a longer retirement. That means you’ll need to make your assets and income last longer so you can live comfortably. Career Earnings Many women also may earn less over their career than their husbands or even their male counterparts in the workplace. According to a study from PayScale, a salary website, the average woman hits her peak in annual earnings at age 44. Men, on the other hand, hit their peak at age 55.3 PayScale also found that women earn less over the course of their career. The average woman has a peak annual income of $66,700. Men peak at just over $100,000.3 There are a number of reasons why this earnings gap exists. Some women may take time off to care for children. Others may sacrifice their career so their husbands can pursue a more demanding and time-consuming career. Others may suffer from the well-known pay gap that exists in the United States. Regardless of the reason, it’s important for women to know that the earnings gap exists so they can plan accordingly. Career earnings often translates into savings. A woman who has less career earnings may also have fewer assets saved for retirement. Ready to take control of your long-term financial planning? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and develop a strategy. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2019/03/07/many-women-defer-to-spouses-on-big-financial-decisions-ubs/ 2https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/longevity 3https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/11/gender-pay-gap-womens-earnings-peak-11-years-before-mens-payscale.html Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19093 - 2019/8/1  Not Your Parents’ Retirement The world has changed significantly in the past few decades. Thirty years ago, there weren’t cell phones. Computers weren’t widely owned. There was no Uber or Airbnb. Social media was unheard of and virtual reality was the stuff of science fiction.
The world changes quickly, and not just in terms of technology. Retirement has changed significantly in the past few decades as well. The next generation of retirees will face challenges that previous generations didn’t face. The good news is that you can overcome these potential challenges if you plan ahead. Below are a few ways in which retirement has changed over time. Do you have a strategy to address these challenges? If not, now may be the time to develop one. A financial professional can help you get started. Longevity People are living longer than ever. Usually, that’s a good thing, but a long lifespan can create financial challenges. According to the Society of Actuaries, today’s retirees can plan on a long lifespan. They estimate that a 65-year-old couple has a 50 percent chance of one spouse living to age 94 and a 25 percent chance of one spouse living to 98.1 If you retire in your mid-60s, there’s a chance your retirement could last 30 years. That means you’ll need your assets and your income to last that long. That could be difficult, especially if you overspend in the early years of retirement. Income Sources There was a time when retirees could count on income from Social Security and an employer defined benefit pension to fund their retirement. Those days are long gone. Defined benefit pensions are quickly disappearing from employer benefit options. In fact, the percentage of Fortune 500 companies that offer defined benefit pensions has dropped from 59 percent in 1998 to 16 percent in 2017.2 While you can likely count on Social Security income, it may not be enough to fund a full retirement. That means you may need to take withdrawals from your savings and investments to generate income. You’ll likely need an income strategy to make sure you savings lasts through a long, fulfilling retirement. Health Care Health care costs have risen dramatically in recent decades. Medicare helps cover some of those costs, but it doesn’t cover everything. In fact, Fidelity estimates that the average retiree will spend $285,000 out-of-pocket on healthcare.3 That figure is above and beyond what is covered by Medicare, and includes things like premiums, deductibles, copays and more. How do you plan for high out-of-pocket healthcare costs? One effective strategy is to budget for them. You also may want to consider an investment strategy that generates enough income to cover potential health care costs. Complexity Retirement income. Healthcare costs. Budgeting. Longevity. How do you plan a retirement strategy that considers all these potential challenges and more? For many retirees, the complexity of managing these issues is the real challenge. Fortunately, you can address retirement issues head-on by developing a personalized retirement income plan. A retirement plan can help you project your income, budget your spending, and make sure that your assets last as long as you need them to. Ready to plan for a 21st-century retirement? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Bales Financial Group. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/longevity 2https://www.planadviser.com/mere-16-fortune-500-companies-offer-db-plan/ 3https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/personal-finance/plan-for-rising-health-care-costs\ Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 19094 - 2019/8/1 |